Norway vs England – Predictions and Odds – 2026 World Cup (July 11, 2026)

Norway and England meet with a place in the World Cup semi-finals at stake, and I expect the contest to be decided by small margins. England have the stronger bench and more flexibility in attacking areas, but Norway have already shown they can stay competitive against elite opposition without needing to control the match.

Norway are most effective when they can move the ball forward quickly. Martin Ødegaard’s passing remains central to their approach, while Erling Haaland gives them a constant threat in behind and inside the box. Their difficulty has been at the other end, where they have struggled to limit clear chances and have yet to produce a convincing defensive display.

England have not been consistently dominant, yet they continue to create decisive moments through individual quality. Harry Kane’s link-up play allows runners such as Jude Bellingham to attack the space around the penalty area, while the options out wide give England several ways to change the tempo. Their main task will be cutting off the service into Haaland.

My preferred lower-risk bet is England to qualify, priced at roughly 1.50, as the selection remains live through extra time and a penalty shoot-out. For a more ambitious option, Jude Bellingham to score at any time appeals at around 3.75. His late runs could be particularly effective against a Norway defence likely to focus heavily on Kane.