Mexico v England – predictions and odds – 2026 World Cup (6 July 2026)

We are now in the round of 16 of the 2026 World Cup and, at this stage, the high-profile fixtures are the norm. The match on 6 July will also carry significant emotional weight: Mexico are dreaming of reaching the World Cup quarter-finals for the first time in 40 years, and the whole country is brimming with excitement. Chanting “What if we do?”, they will attempt to overcome one of the favourites with the intensity, pace and quality of football they have shown so far. Will it be enough to stop Harry Kane and his team-mates?

What Javier Aguirre has achieved in the last year at the helm of the Mexican national team will be remembered regardless of the outcome of this match. In just one year, he took charge of a team that had been written off and has given them a sense of identity and a belief in themselves that is almost unprecedented. The development of players such as Quiñones, Lira, Romo and Vásques in defence has surprised even their own supporters. Add to that the breakthrough performance of an unstoppable Gilberto Mora against Ecuador and the clinical finishing Raúl Jiménez is demonstrating, and there are reasons to dream. So far, they have won all four of their home matches; on this occasion (and for the last time, even if they go through), the Azteca Stadium is looking to be the deciding factor once again. They have more than enough reasons to progress.

Opposite them is a side that, to date, has shown far less flair. They have made it through to the round of 16 after coming from behind against the Democratic Republic of the Congo (2–1), suffering far more than expected and thanks to a superb Harry Kane coming to the rescue. The Bayern striker produced two individual moments of brilliance to save Tuchel’s side from disaster, as they were getting nowhere through their team play. If Bellingham, Rashford, Madueke, Saka or Eze don’t raise their game, they can kiss their chances goodbye against one of the hosts.

Therefore, bearing in mind the emotional aspect over the footballing one, and knowing that the ‘Three Lions’ have world-class stars capable of turning the result in their favour at any moment, we’re going to take a risk. Mexico have earned our trust. Their first 45 minutes against Ecuador were among the best of the World Cup so far: pressing, quick passing, well-judged attacks into space… a truly remarkable performance. We don’t know if they’ll be able to reach such a high standard this Sunday, but they’re likely to repeat it, and if the English are as lacklustre as they’ve been so far… they could win. With odds like these, we’re backing ‘El Tri’. What do you reckon?