Derry have improved considerably since Mark Connolly became interim manager in August. The Candystripes won eight of his first 13 matches, losing just twice, and finished fifth in the Premier Division. Their FAI Cup performances have been particularly impressive. Derry scored 11 goals in four rounds, beating Tolka Rovers, UCD, Dundalk and Galway United. The 4-2 comeback victory against Dundalk demonstrated their attacking quality, while a 2-0 semi-final win at Galway showed they can also control important matches.

Michael Duffy remains their outstanding player. The winger has scored five goals in this season’s FAI Cup, including both against Galway. Connolly also managed his squad carefully before the final, making ten changes for the 2-2 league draw with Sligo Rovers. Carl Winchester is the only confirmed injury absentee, leaving Derry with plenty of options for Sunday’s decider.

Waterford have completed an extraordinary turnaround under Graham Coughlan. The Blues were bottom of the Premier Division without a victory in their first 16 league matches when Coughlan arrived in May. They eventually secured survival, finished seventh and reached their first FAI Cup final since 2004. Their recent performances have been impressive, with four victories in their last five competitive matches and 12 goals scored. Pádraig Amond and Tommy Lonergan have been central to that improvement, combining for 36 goals across league and cup football this season.

Benny Couto has also been influential, finishing the league campaign with 12 assists. Waterford reached the final by beating Cobh Ramblers, Athlone Town, Sligo Rovers and Bohemians, conceding just twice across those four fixtures. Sam Glenfield remains unavailable, while Jordan Houston’s fitness requires monitoring. Coughlan’s side have already beaten Derry away from home this season, giving them every reason to approach the final confidently.

1. Goals in Previous Meetings: The four league encounters produced 20 goals, averaging five per match. Both teams scored in every fixture.
2. Duffy’s Cup Form: Michael Duffy has scored five FAI Cup goals this season. His creativity and finishing could prove decisive for Derry.
3. Waterford’s Attacking Partnership: Amond and Lonergan have combined for 36 goals, providing a constant threat through direct attacks and movement inside the box.
4. Different Tactical Approaches: Derry average more than 400 successful passes per match under Connolly, while Waterford favour a direct style and quicker transitions.
5. Waterford’s Set-Piece Threat: The Blues have scored 36% of their goals from set pieces under Coughlan. Derry will need to defend deliveries into the penalty area carefully.