Ireland vs Argentina Prediction (Nations Championship) Odds and Bets 06.11.2026

Last update at 4 November, 2026Reading time: 4 minutes

Ireland

Argentina

Nations Championship, 20:10 @ 06.11.2026

Ireland welcome Argentina to the Aviva Stadium on Friday 6 November for Round 4 of the 2026 Nations Championship. Andy Farrell’s side won two of their three July fixtures, while Los Pumas collected one victory from their opening three matches.

Our Ireland vs Argentina prediction favours the hosts, although their growing injury list could make this a closer contest than the outright odds suggest. Argentina have the attacking quality to trouble Ireland, particularly if the visitors can turn the match into an open contest.

Ireland vs Argentina: Match Preview

Ireland are looking to make home advantage count as the Nations Championship returns to the northern hemisphere.

Match information	Details
Competition	Nations Championship 2026
Date	Friday, 6 November 2026
Kick-off	8:10pm Irish time
Venue	Aviva Stadium, Dublin
TV in Ireland	Virgin Media One
Round	Northern Hemisphere Series, Round 4

Ireland have six competition points? No. Their two July victories came against Australia and Japan before a disappointing defeat to New Zealand. Argentina also showed their attacking potential during July, pushing England close after beating Wales. The last meeting between these sides finished 22-19 to Ireland in Dublin in November 2024, suggesting another competitive encounter is possible.

Recent Form and Key Results

Ireland have the better Nations Championship record, but Argentina have actually scored more points across the opening three rounds.

Recent Nations Championship results	Ireland	Argentina
Round 1	Won 33-31 vs Australia	Lost 38-47 vs Scotland
Round 2	Won 36-20 vs Japan	Won 35-21 vs Wales
Round 3	Lost 21-40 vs New Zealand	Lost 24-31 vs England

Ireland’s victory over Australia demonstrated their ability to manage a tight finish, while their defeat against New Zealand exposed defensive weaknesses. Argentina have been similarly unpredictable. Los Pumas scored at least 24 points in every July fixture, including a strong attacking performance against Scotland. Their subsequent international results have been mixed, but that additional match experience could help them settle quickly in Dublin.

Team News and the Main Uncertainty

Ireland will be without several established internationals, including Caelan Doris, Jack Crowley, Jack Conan and Garry Ringrose. Those absences affect important combinations in the back row, at out-half and in midfield. Dan Sheehan captains the squad, while Sam Prendergast’s fitness has been monitored following a wrist injury.

Argentina also have a major absence. Santiago Carreras has been ruled out for the remainder of the season, removing an influential attacking option. Farrell still has considerable depth available, but Ireland’s reshuffled combinations will need to find their rhythm against a physical Argentina side.

Tactical Analysis: Can Ireland Control Argentina’s Attack?

Ireland’s strongest route to victory lies in their territorial kicking, set-piece organisation and ability to maintain possession through multiple phases. Playing at the Aviva Stadium should help Farrell’s side establish control, particularly if their forwards win the breakdown battle. However, Argentina are capable of making opponents uncomfortable through aggressive carries and quick attacking transitions.

Nations Championship statistics	Ireland	Argentina
Matches played	3	3
Wins	2	1
Points scored	90	97
Points conceded	91	99
Average points scored	30.0	32.3
Average points conceded	30.3	33.0
Matches over 53.5 points	3/3	3/3

Both teams averaged more than 30 points scored per match during July, but also conceded heavily. All six of their combined Nations Championship fixtures finished above 53.5 total points.

That supports interest in the points markets, although Ireland’s changes in personnel and the gap since July make those figures less reliable as a guide to Friday’s final score. I expect Ireland to control more of the territory, but Argentina should create opportunities of their own.

Ireland vs Argentina: 1X2 Betting Odds

Ireland are clear favourites to begin their home Nations Championship campaign with a victory.

Match result (80 minutes)	Odds
Ireland to win	1.22
Draw	23.00
Argentina to win	4.20

Ireland to win at 1.22 is my preferred conservative selection. Their home advantage, structured attacking approach and experience in tight Tests give them the edge. However, Argentina’s scoring record suggests the hosts may need to work hard throughout the full 80 minutes.

Ireland vs Argentina: Alternative Betting Odds

The handicap, total points and winning-margin markets provide alternatives to Ireland’s short outright price.

Betting market	Odds
Ireland -10.5 Points	1.91
Argentina +10.5 Points	1.80
Ireland -16 (Three-Way Handicap)	2.88
Over 53.5 Total Points	1.83
Under 53.5 Total Points	1.83
Ireland to Win by 15+ Points	2.40

Ireland to win by 15 or more points at 2.40 is my preferred higher-risk selection. If the hosts establish control through their forwards and dominate territory, they have the attacking quality to pull clear. Argentina’s ability to score against strong opposition makes a comfortable victory less certain, but Ireland could create a decisive margin if they start winning the physical exchanges.

Indicative pre-match odds as of 4 November 2026. Prices may change before kick-off. Markets refer to 80 minutes plus stoppage time. Handicap and winning-margin settlement rules may differ.

Ireland vs Argentina Predictions

Beni

The conservative one

Ireland to Win

Coefficient 1.22

Dublin, home advantage and a side that knows how to win tight Tests. Argentina won't make it easy, especially with Ireland missing some big names, but I'm backing Farrell's men to get the job done.

Beto

The bold one

Ireland to Win by 15+ Points

Coefficient 2.40

Los Pumas can score, but I fancy Ireland to take charge up front. If the hosts start winning territory and turn up the pressure after the break, this could open up. Give me Ireland by 15 or more!

Ireland to Win

Category Rugby

Coefficient

Chooses

Offered by

Cian O’DonnellExpert in Irish and UK sports betting

Cian knows the Irish betting scene well and has spent years analysing football, racing and major sporting events across Ireland and the UK. His tips are based on form, stats, market trends and a good read of what is happening around each event. Check out his free BetBrothers predictions and see which picks he is backing next.