St Patricks vs Bohemians Prediction (FAI Cup) Odds and Bets 05.09.2026

There is very little separating St Patrick’s Athletic and Bohemians heading into Saturday’s FAI Cup quarter-final at Richmond Park. The Dublin rivals are level on 50 points after 29 Premier Division matches, although St Pat’s hold the better goal difference. Bohs, meanwhile, arrive with real momentum after three straight wins in domestic competition.

What makes this one particularly interesting for me is the contrast between St Pat’s home advantage and Bohs’ recent attacking form. In a cup derby where the margins should be small, I’m reluctant to read too much into league position alone.

St Patrick’s Athletic vs Bohemians Date, Kick-Off Time and Match Details

The FAI has confirmed the 16:00 kick-off at Richmond Park, with the Dublin derby selected for live coverage on RTÉ2.

How St Patrick’s Athletic and Bohemians Are Shaping Up

St Patrick’s Athletic Form

St Pat’s are a difficult side to pin down at the minute. Stephen Kenny’s team showed plenty of character in the previous round of this competition, recovering from 2-0 down to beat holders Shamrock Rovers 3-2 after extra time at Richmond Park. Before that, they had beaten Wexford 2-1 in their opening FAI Cup tie.

Their league form immediately before this quarter-final has been less straightforward. They followed a 2-0 away win over Drogheda United with a 2-0 home defeat against Waterford on 28 August. That Waterford result is the one that makes me wary of treating home advantage as enough reason to back the Saints outright.

Still, the bigger picture remains strong. St Pat’s have 50 points from 29 league games, with 45 goals scored and only 25 conceded. They also know they can come through a difficult cup night at Richmond Park after that comeback against Rovers.

Bohemians Form

Bohs come into this quarter-final with the stronger immediate momentum. After their European campaign ended against Midtjylland, they responded by beating Longford Town 4-0 in the FAI Cup, Derry City 5-3 in the league and Sligo Rovers 3-0. That is 12 goals across three consecutive domestic victories.

The Longford result needs some context given the difference in level, but scoring eight goals against Derry and Sligo is harder to dismiss. Ross Tierney has also spoken positively about the stability within the squad and the momentum Bohs have built since their European exit.

Their league numbers reinforce how evenly matched these sides are. Bohs also have 50 points from 29 matches, with a 14-8-7 record. They have scored 50 league goals to St Pat’s 45, although they have conceded nine more.

Key Factors Behind the Prediction

1. Bohs Have the Better Recent Attacking Rhythm

This is the first thing I’d put on the table. Bohemians have scored 12 goals in their last three domestic matches: four against Longford, five against Derry and three against Sligo. St Pat’s, by contrast, are coming off a 2-0 home defeat to Waterford.

2. Richmond Park Still Matters

I wouldn’t ignore the venue. St Pat’s already produced one of their biggest results of the season here in the previous round, turning a 2-0 deficit into a 3-2 extra-time victory over Shamrock Rovers. They also beat Bohs 3-1 at Richmond Park in their April league meeting.

3. There Is Almost Nothing Between Them in the Table

After 29 league matches, both clubs sit on 50 points with identical records of 14 wins, eight draws and seven defeats. St Pat’s have the stronger goal difference at +20 compared with Bohs’ +16.

For me, that is important when assessing the match-winner prices. This is not a straightforward favourite-versus-underdog situation.

4. The 2026 Head-to-Head Is Split

Their league meetings this year offer arguments for both sides. St Pat’s won 3-1 at Richmond Park in April, while Bohs answered with a 2-0 victory at Dalymount Park on 26 June. Their February meeting finished 0-0.

That makes me even less interested in pretending there is a huge gap between the teams.

5. The Match-Winner Market Is Fairly Tight

The latest 1X2 prices I could verify have St Patrick’s Athletic at 2.20, the draw at 3.30 and Bohemians at 2.88.

I can understand St Pat’s being favourites at Richmond Park, but 2.20 does not strike me as an automatic bet given Bohs’ current run. The away price reflects the risk of going against the home side, but it also shows just how competitive the market expects this quarter-final to be.

St Patrick’s Athletic vs Bohemians Statistics

Those figures sum the tie up nicely. St Pat’s have been the better defensive side over the league season, conceding nine fewer goals, while Bohs have the higher scoring total and the sharper recent attacking form. Both have identical league records and points totals, so I see very little justification for treating either side as clearly superior. The key question is whether St Pat’s can use Richmond Park to slow down a Bohs attack that has suddenly clicked into gear.

St Patrick’s Athletic vs Bohemians Head-to-Head

The three 2026 league meetings have produced one win each and one draw. Bohemians held St Pat’s to a 0-0 draw in February, the Saints won 3-1 at Richmond Park in April and Bohs won the June meeting 2-0 at Dalymount Park.

There is also recent cup history between them: St Patrick’s Athletic beat Bohemians 3-1 in the 2023 FAI Cup final. It is useful background, but I wouldn’t give a three-year-old match much weight when pricing Saturday’s tie.

St Patrick’s Athletic vs Bohemians Odds

The latest match-winner prices I could verify are:

Odds can move before kick-off, so I’d always check the live price before placing a bet.