Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction (Premier Division) Odds and Bets 19.10.2026

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Derry City
St. Patricks
Premier Division, 19:45 @ 19.10.2026

Derry City and St Patrick’s Athletic meet at the Brandywell on Monday, 19 October 2026, with European places and the title race still in play. The Saints sit second, six points behind Shamrock Rovers, while fifth-placed Derry are enjoying a revival under Mark Connolly. With three draws between them this season, another tight encounter looks likely.

Derry City vs St Patricks Details:

  • Fixture: Derry City vs St Patrick’s Athletic
  • Competition: League of Ireland Premier Division
  • Round: Matchday 33, rearranged fixture
  • Date: Monday, 19 October 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45, Irish time
  • Venue: Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
  • Live stream: LOITV

Derry City vs St Patrick’s Athletic: Team Form and Analysis

Both clubs have plenty to play for, but they’re approaching this fixture from different positions.

Derry City Recent Form

  • Improved results: Six wins, two draws and one defeat in nine competitive matches under interim boss Mark Connolly.
  • Cup confidence: Michael Duffy scored twice against Galway United to secure a place in November’s FAI Cup final.
  • Home advantage: Seven wins and six draws from 16 home league matches.
  • Defensive problems: Derry have conceded ten goals in their last five league games.
  • Team news: Carl Winchester and Darragh Markey have been dealing with injuries, while Friday’s trip to Drogheda adds to the workload.

St Patrick’s Athletic Recent Form

  • Title ambitions: Second in the table, with 17 wins from 32 league fixtures.
  • Defensive strength: Only 25 goals conceded and 13 clean sheets this season.
  • Recent momentum: Three consecutive league victories against Shamrock Rovers, Dundalk and Sligo Rovers.
  • Key player: Aidan Keena has contributed seven goals and three assists across his last ten league appearances.
  • Fixture concerns: A lengthy competitive break followed by two matches in four days could test Stephen Kenny’s squad.

Key Factors Behind Our Derry City vs St Patrick’s Athletic Prediction

  1. St Pat’s Have the Stronger Defence The Saints have conceded 17 fewer league goals than Derry. Four clean sheets in their last five league matches make them particularly difficult to break down.
  2. The Brandywell Is a Tough Place to Visit Derry have lost just three of 16 home league games. Their recent attacking improvement, particularly through Michael Duffy, gives them a genuine chance of troubling the visitors.
  3. Three Meetings, Three Draws Every league encounter between these sides in 2026 has finished level:16 March: St Pat’s 0-0 Derry City
    22 May: Derry City 0-0 St Pat’s
    2 August: St Pat’s 1-1 Derry City
  4. A Quick Turnaround for Both Teams Both clubs play on Friday, leaving only three days before Monday’s meeting. Squad rotation and recovery could influence the result.
  5. The Title Race Adds Pressure St Pat’s need victories to keep chasing Shamrock Rovers. Derry, meanwhile, want to maintain their momentum heading towards the FAI Cup final.
  6. Is There Value in Backing the Visitors? St Pat’s have the stronger defensive record and greater consistency, but Derry’s home form makes an outright away victory difficult to trust. Double chance looks the safer approach.

Derry City vs St Patrick’s Athletic Statistics and Prediction

Premier Division statistics correct to 16 October 2026, before Friday’s scheduled matches.

StatisticDerry CitySt Pat’s
League position5th2nd
Matches played3232
Wins917
Draws148
Defeats97
Goals scored4552
Goals conceded4225
Goal difference+3+27
Clean sheets913
Last five matches2W, 2D, 1L4W, 0D, 1L
Home/away record7W, 6D, 3L7W, 5D, 4L

What the Numbers Tell Us

  1. Defence: St Pat’s have conceded 25 goals compared with Derry’s 42.
  2. Recent form: The Saints have won four of their last five league games.
  3. Home advantage: Derry have avoided defeat in 13 of their 16 home matches.
  4. Attacking threat: Derry have scored ten goals in their last five league outings, but conceded just as many.
  5. Head-to-head: All three meetings this season have ended in draws.

Derry City vs St Patrick’s Athletic Betting Odds

The following are indicative prices available ahead of the fixture.

Match winner marketOdds
Derry City win3.05
Draw3.25
St Patrick’s Athletic win2.25
St Patrick’s Athletic or Draw (X2)1.37
Under 2.5 Total Goals1.84
Both Teams to Score – No2.06

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athletic Predictions

Beni
The conservative one
Beni

St Patrick's Athletic or Draw (X2)

Coefficient 1.37

I'm keeping the draw on my side here. Pat's are better organised defensively and have been remarkably solid lately, but Derry at the Brandywell are no pushovers. Three draws between them this season tell me not to get greedy. It's a cautious pick, and the short price is the trade-off.

Supported by
Beto
The bold one
Beto

St Patrick's Athletic to Win

Coefficient 2.25

I'm backing the Saints to edge it. Keena is in serious form, Kenny's side have the stronger defence, and there's a title race keeping them on their toes. Derry can cause trouble, no doubt, but I fancy Pat's to nick this one. Another draw is the danger.

Supported by
St Patrick's Athletic or Draw (X2)
Category Football
Coefficient
Chooses
Offered by
Cian tipster Ireland
Expert in Irish and UK sports betting
Cian knows the Irish betting scene well and has spent years analysing football, racing and major sporting events across Ireland and the UK. His tips are based on form, stats, market trends and a good read of what is happening around each event. Check out his free BetBrothers predictions and see which picks he is backing next.

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